Current Map Of The Solar System
The image below is an up to date map
of the solar system displaying the orbits of the terrestrial planets and
the estimated position of thousands of known asteroids. This diagram is
missing comets, space probes and, of course, the undiscovered asteroids.
Even conservative estimates would suggest that for every asteroid on a
dangerous Earth-Approaching orbit there are hundreds more which have
yet to be discovered. There are over 300 known objects on Earth-crossing
orbits, the majority of which are potentially capable of causing death
and destruction on a scale unheard of in human history.
The terrestrial planets (Mercury, Venus,
Earth and Mars) are shown on the diagram by Cyan or White squares, and
their orbits are represented by the blue ellipses around the Sun (the yellow
dot at the centre). The Earth is highlighted because of its special importance
to us.
Small green points mark the location of asteroids
which do not approach close to the Earth right now. This does not
exclude the possibility that they will do so in the future but generally we
can consider the Earth to be safe from these for the near future.
Yellow
objects (with the exception of the one in the middle which we astronomers
call the Sun ;-) are Earth approaching asteroids which are called Amors after the
first one discovered. Amors have orbits which come close to the Earth
but they don't cross the Earth's orbit. However, their orbits are close
enough to the Earth that they could potentially be perturbed by the influence
of the planets and begin to cross the Earth's orbit in a short time. There
are over 300 known objects on such orbits.
Finally the
red boxes mark the location
of the Apollo and Aten asteroids. These cross the Earth's orbit and are
the most directly identifiable astronomical threat for the near future.
Included in this selection is the infamous asteroid, 1997XF11, which made
a major impact on the world's headlines in March 1997 when observations
indicated that it had a good chance of colliding with the Earth in 2028.
Thankfully, new observations were made and the newly calculated orbit
predicts a close approach of about 600,000 kilometres. Other asteroids
which have orbits which may hit the Earth are 1999 AN 10 and 1998 OX 4.
Further observation is required to determine their orbits in sufficient
detail to predict an impact or a near miss.
It is estimated that there are perhaps 100,000
to 1,000,000 undiscovered asteroids on similar Earth crossing orbits.
Have a Nice Day.
I've also made up a
short movie which
shows 400 days in the life of the NEO population.
Alternatively, if you're adventurous you might want to take a look at
this
C programme for X which can use the current
asteroid file to display a realtime animation. It's currently in development
but you can play around with it if you want.
This map is a 2 dimensional projection, and it can look very busy in
the vicinity of Earth. To get a better idea of the distribution of objects
near the Earth I have a
map showing the relative
positions of all asteroids currently within 0.3 AU.
The Asteroid elements are all taken from Ted Bowell's excellent
online
catalogue. All other software and text is Copyright
1998 -
Scott Manley - Take
a look at his
home page.
While you're here you might want to take a look at
Armagheddon
;-).
See also: NEO Impact Hazard
Last Revised: 2010 January 13th
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